Where is the Internet Heading Next?
Thu, 06/25/2009 - 07:07 — Sean CarneyNot long ago I had Mikael over and we were regaling stories of what technology was like back in the day. It was an interesting conversation since things really have changed over time.
In the beginning, there were the ISPs. Everyone got ten megabytes of space to build their own website. Back then that involved coding all the HTML yourself in a text editor and uploading the files with a FTP client.
Next came Geocities. Geocities changed the landscape by providing free web space to host your websites, a web form to upload files, and later, a graphical interface to create them. Suddenly having a presence on the web was within the grasp of far more people.
After this the next major innovation was blogs such as Wordpress and picture sharing websites such as Flickr. The blogging platforms allowed people to create content in an entirely visual and intuitive way. The photo sharing services provided unlimited space for pictures which had traditionally been hogging a large portion of the 10 megabyte limit Geocities gave you. More people were able to come online. At this point Geocities began to die off.
The latest major trend is social networking sites such as Facebook. They combine the blogging capabilities of Wordpress with the photo sharing function of Flickr into one central package. At this point nearly everyone and their dog had some presence online. Blogs began to decline as people learned they could summarize their sentiments into 160 characters and Geocities disappeared.
That brings us to today. It's amazing how far we have come and how things have changed. Generally this evolution of the Internat has followed two rules; whatever comes next will have to be more user friendly and intuitive than its predecessor, and whatever comes next will have an unprecedented adoption rate. Does anyone want to venture a guess of what will replace Facebook?
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Comments
The Internet really has
The Internet really has changed quite rapidly. Technically, the web didn't even exist when I was born and, as you said, now everyone and their dog are active on it. Your post primarily talks about having a presence online, but it doesn't really comment on changes in online communication. Email has been around for >40 years, I believe, but widespread adoption didn't come about until home internet connections became common, probably around the time I was in grade 1. At this point, the only email servers anyone was using was their ISP (much like your ISP hosted websites). Later, everyone (that I communicated with, anyway) jumped to non-ISP email such as hotmail. MSN, AIM, and Yahoo brought about instant messaging for the average user (i.e. non-IRC/ICQ/etc people). Chat rooms and forums were also quite popular (and forums are still going strong). Gmail (in my opinion) brought a fresh look at how email could work and introduced Google Talk which has helped to bring email and instant message together. Twitter has also opened up a whole new method of communication for some (I don't ever use it, but I know people who swear by it for rapid, mass communication). Google Wave looks to be a promising new medium that will, as you said, be user friendly and intuitive. The fact that it is an open standard should help with the rapid adoption rate. I don't think it will be a replacement for Facebook or email, as it doesn't really replace all the functionality of them, but I predict that they will lose at least a little bit of their regular traffic to Waves.
I totally forgot to mention
I totally forgot to mention YouTube and other such video sharing sites. Similar to how Flickr has brought unlimited photo storage to the masses, so has YouTube brought unlimited video. Previously people had to store video files on their web servers as whatever file they had and you would always end up with a ton of different file formats. Now anyone can take whatever file they have and put it into a standardized, free, public location.
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